Journal of Mathematics Technology and Education
Vol. 1 No. 2 (2022): Journal of Mathematics Technology and Education

The Effectiveness of ARIMA Method in Rice Production Forecasting of North Sumatera Province


Article Info

Publish Date
31 Mar 2022

Abstract

Rice production continues to be spurred to meet the increasing need for food. Meanwhile, based on data from the Badan Pusat Statistik, in 2019 there was a decline in national rice production, especially in North Sumatra Province. In this research, it was found that the estimated amount of rice production for the next 8 periods was obtained using the Box Jenkins ARIMA method with the ARIMA model (2,0,6) experiencing an up and down trend, The MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) deviation value is obtained by 12.84%, the forecast model is quite efective to be used.

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Journal Info
Journal of Mathematics Technology and Education
Website

Abbrev

jomte

Publisher

TALENTA PUBLISHER

Subject

Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Environmental Science Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Physics Social Sciences Transportation

Description

ournal of Mathematics Technology and Education (JoMTE) is a peer-reviewed four times a year journal (March, June, September, and December) published by TALENTA Publisher and organized by Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Universitas Sumatera Utara (USU) as an ...