E-Jurnal Matematika
Vol 11 No 2 (2022)

ESTIMASI CVAR PADA PORTOFOLIO SAHAM MENGGUNAKAN METODE GJR-EVT DENGAN PENDEKATAN D-VINE COPULA

DERY MAULANA (Universitas Udayana)
KOMANG DHARMAWAN (Universitas Udayana)
I GUSTI AYU MADE SRINADI (Universitas Udayana)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 May 2022

Abstract

Risk measure using Conditional Value at Risk can be calculate if values that exceeds the p-quantile is known in VaR. The models used to accommodate characteristics of the stock portfolio in this research are EVT-GARCH-D-vine copula and EVT-GJR-D-vine copula so the performance of these two models can be compared. A comparison of the performance of the EVT-GARCH-D-vine copula and EVT-GJR-D-vine copula models can be seen from the Kupiec test backtesting process. Exceeded value Kupiec Test on CVaR 99% is 2, CVaR 95% is 6, and CVaR 90% is 13 for AR(1)-GARCH-t(1,1)-GPD and CVaR 99% is 3, CVaR 95% is 7, and CVaR 90% is 13 for AR(1)-GJR-t(1,1)-GPD. The Kupiec test describes the estimated risk value of CVaR running well with the value of the entire model above the significant level of ? = 0.05 so as to provide a conclusion of risk estimates considered feasible.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

mtk

Publisher

Subject

Mathematics

Description

E-Jurnal Matematika merupakan salah satu jurnal elektronik yang ada di Universitas Udayana, sebagai media komunikasi antar peminat di bidang ilmu matematika dan terapannya, seperti statistika, matematika finansial, pengajaran matematika dan terapan matematika dibidang ilmu lainnya. Jurnal ini lahir ...