Andalas Journal of Electrical and Electronic Engineering Technology
Vol. 2 No. 1 (2022): May 2022

Forecasting the Electricity Need for the Household Sector PT. PLN (Persero) Rayon Lhoksukon with Time Series Linear Regression

Ummi Habibah (Lhokseumawe State Polytechnic)
Muhammad Muhammad (Malikussaleh University)
Affitdal Randi (Malikussaleh University)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Aug 2022

Abstract

Predictions of electricity demand such as connected power and the country's consumption of electrical energy continue to increase every year by population growth in Indonesia. This will cause the number of electricity customers to increase. PLN as a provider of electricity is important to predict long-term electricity demand as the direction of the company's economic policy to meet customer needs. This activity will be reviewed in the electricity distribution area of PT. PLN (PERSERO) Rayon Lhoksukon and its surroundings. Prediction of electricity demand is done through forecasting the number of electricity customers using the time series analysis method with regression from the previous data review from 2016 to 2019. The results show, the form of forecasting , results in the number of electricity customers in 2030 being 6005 customers or an average increase of 2 0.08%/year. The functional relationship between the number of subscribers and connected power is close to a straight line, approached by linear regression, in the form of , resulting in connected power in 2030 being 6927851.4 VA or an average increase of 2.51%/year . Meanwhile , the functional relationship between the number of customers and consumption of electrical energy is close to a straight line, approached by linear regression, in the form of , resulting in electrical energy consumption in 2030 being 67580665.04 kWh or an average increase of 1.15%/year

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Journal Info

Abbrev

ajeeet

Publisher

Subject

Control & Systems Engineering Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Engineering

Description

Electrical power and energy: Transmission and distribution, high voltage, electrical energy conversion, power electronics and drive. Telecomunication and Signal Processing: Antenna and wave propagation, network and systems, Modulation and signal processing, Radar and sonar, Radar imaging; Radio, ...