Indonesian Journal of Multidisciplinary Science
Vol. 2 No. 1 (2022): Indonesian Journal of Multidisciplinary Science

Analyzing Indonesia’s Inflation in 1998-2020: Error Correction Model Approach

Shaila Farizqiyah (State Islamic University of Maulana Malik Ibrahim, Malang, East Java, Indonesia)
Indah Yuliana (State Islamic University of Maulana Malik Ibrahim, Malang, East Java, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Oct 2022

Abstract

Inflation is a macroeconomic problem that is of concern, unstable inflation has a negative impact on people's welfare, so inflation control is important. The purpose of this study is to estimate the factors that influence inflation in Indonesia for the period 1998-2020. The research method uses descriptive analysis by providing an overview of the development of inflation, interest rates, exchange rates, household consumption, and GDP in Indonesia during 1998-2020. Quantitative analysis using Error Correction Model (ECM). This study uses secondary data from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and Bank Indonesia (BI). The results obtained indicate that all variables (interest rates, exchange rates, household consumption and GDP) simultaneously have a significant effect on inflation, both in the long and short term. Based on the results of the partial test, the interest rate variable has a positive and significant effect on inflation in Indonesia both in the long and short term. The exchange rate variable partially has a negative and significant effect on inflation in Indonesia, both in the long and short term. Furthermore, the GDP variable partially has a positive and significant effect on inflation in the long term but not significant in the short term. Meanwhile, the household consumption variable partially has no significant effect on inflation in Indonesia during the 1998-2020 period.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

ijoms

Publisher

Subject

Humanities Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Engineering Environmental Science Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Library & Information Science Mathematics Public Health Social Sciences

Description

Indonesian Journal of Multidisciplinary Science (IJOMS) is a scientific journal in the form of research and can be accessed openly. This journal has e-ISSN 2808-6724 and p-ISSN 2808-5957. This journal is published monthly by International Journal Labs. The development of the company made the ...