Journal of Indonesian Economy and Business
Vol 23, No 2 (2008): April

Pengaruh Volume Perdagangan Saham, Deposito dan Kurs terhadap IHSG Beserta Prediksi IHSG (Model GARCH dan ARIMA)

Murwaningsari, Etty ( Universitas Trisakti)



Article Info

Publish Date
25 Feb 2015

Abstract

The objective of this research is to identify the influences of stock trading volume, deposits and exchange rate to the stock price index (IHSG).This research examines secondary data from Indonesia Stock Exchange Reference Center for monthly IHSG from 1992-2006 as well as deposit interest rate and exchange rate from Bank of Indonesia at the same period. The statistical modelings usedto test the hypothesis are GARCH and ARIMA Model.Hypothesis test 1 and 3 shows that the stock trading volume has positive influence, while interest rate has negative influence to the stock price index. Test on hypothesis 2 indicates that exchange rate has no significant influence to stock trading volume. Based on the prediction obtained by ARIMA and GARCH method, it is shownthat ARIMA provides the least differences between actual value and predicted value. It is concluded that for our data, ARIMA method is better than GARCH method.Keywords: size, stock trading volume, deposits, exchange rate, stock price index.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Journal of Indonesian Economy and Business (JIEB) is open access, peer-reviewed journal whose objectives is to publish original research papers related to the Indonesian economy and business issues. This journal is also dedicated to disseminating the published articles freely for international ...