Faktor Exacta
Vol 15, No 4 (2022)

Model Matematika pada Penyebaran Penyakit Covid-19 dengan Pengaruh Vaksinasi di DKI Jakarta

Rifki DIRJA Ristiawan (Informatika UNINDRA)
Annisa Ulya Solihah (Institut Sains & Teknologi Nasional)



Article Info

Publish Date
21 Jan 2023

Abstract

Coronavirus Disease 2019 or Covid-19 is a disease caused by a coronavirus that attacks the respiratory tract causing high fever, cough, flu, shortness of breath, and sore throat. To see the spread of Covid-19 with the effect of vaccination in DKI Jakarta, this study developed the SIR epidemic model into SVIR by adding a population of vaccinated individuals to prevent the spread of Covid-19. This model assumes that individuals are given the vaccine until the second dose. Individuals vaccinated for two doses can still be infected with Covid-19 if they interact with individuals infected with Covid-19. The population is divided into four classes: the vulnerable individual class, the vaccinated individual class, the Covid-19 infected individual class, and the recovered individual class. Construction of the models starts by making a flow chart of the spread of Covid-19 with the effect of vaccination. This model obtains two equilibrium points, namely the disease-free equilibrium  point and the endemic equilibrium point . Analysis of the system's stability around the equilibrium point gives the primary reproduction number . From the analysis results, the system around the disease-free equilibrium point is  locally asymptotically stable when . Then a numerical simulation is carried out to provide a geometric picture related to the results that have been analyzed. The simulation results show that when conditions  occur, the disease will disappear, and under conditions , the disease will become epidemic. To prevent the spread of Covid-19, efforts can be made to reduce direct contact with infected individuals, implement health protocols and increase the proportion of vaccinated individuals.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

Faktor_Exacta

Publisher

Subject

Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Electrical & Electronics Engineering Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering

Description

Faktor Exacta is a peer review journal in the field of informatics. This journal was published in March (March, June, September, December) by Institute for Research and Community Service, University of Indraprasta PGRI, Indonesia. All newspapers will be read blind. Accepted papers will be available ...