Indonesian Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Data Mining
Vol 6, No 1 (2023): Maret 2023

Prediction of Indonesia School Enrollment Rate by Using Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System

Bibit Waluyo Aji (Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Diponegoro University)
Neza Zhevira Septiani (Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Diponegoro University)
Wyne Mumtaazah Putri (Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Diponegoro University)
Bambang Irawanto (Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Diponegoro University)
Bayu Surarso (Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Diponegoro University)
Farikhin Farikhin (Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Diponegoro University)
Yosza Dasril (Applied Mathematics Department, Universiti Tun Husien Oen Malaysia)



Article Info

Publish Date
11 Apr 2023

Abstract

The study aimed to predict the school enrollment rate in Indonesia using the Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). ANFIS is a combination of fuzzy inference system and artificial neural networks. The study used the Gaussian and Gbell membership functions to make the predictions. The results were evaluated using the R square score (coefficient of determination) and Mean Square Error methods. The results showed that the model performed well in predicting the school enrollment rate, particularly in the age categories of 7-12 years and 13-15 years. The R square score for these categories was 0.981551771 and 0.989081085, respectively, while the Mean Square Error was 0.023947290 and 0.3675162695238, respectively. The performance of the model in the age categories of 16-18 years and 19-24 years was also good, but with a slightly lower R square score and Mean Square Error compared to the younger age categories. When using the Gaussian membership function, the model performed even better, particularly in the age categories of 13-15 years and 19-24 years. The R square score for these categories was 0.99020792 and 0.9883091, respectively, while the Mean Square Error was 0.32958834 and 0.31523466571, respectively. Overall, the study demonstrated that ANFIS is a suitable method for predicting school enrollment rate in Indonesia. The results from this study can provide useful information for decision makers in the education sector, who can use the model to make informed decisions about future educational policies and programs.

Copyrights © 2023






Journal Info

Abbrev

IJAIDM

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

Indonesian Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Data Mining (IJAIDM) is an electronic periodical publication published by Puzzle Research Data Technology (Predatech) Faculty of Science and Technology UIN Sultan Syarif Kasim Riau, Indonesia. IJAIDM provides online media to publish scientific ...