IJCCS (Indonesian Journal of Computing and Cybernetics Systems)
Vol 17, No 2 (2023): April

Analyze the Clustering and Predicting Results of Palm Oil Production in Aceh Utara

Mutammimul Ula (Information System, Malikussaleh University, Lhokseumawe)
Gita Perdinanta (Information System, Malikussaleh University, Lhokseumawe)
Rahmad Hidayat (Department of Information Technology and Computer, Politeknik Negeri Lhokseumawe, Lhokseumawe)
Ilham Sahputra (Information System, Malikussaleh University, Lhokseumawe)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Apr 2023

Abstract

PT. Perkebunan Nusantara 1 is engaged in oil palm production with a total land area of 1,144 Ha. The formulation of this research can determine productive land clusters based on land area, number of trees, number of stages, and palm oil production. Methodological steps include plantation area data and oil palm production data. This study can compare the C-means and K-means groups. As for predictions using the Backpropagation Neural Network (BPNN) algorithm and Fuzzy time series for production results. The results of grouping Cot girek palm oil production data for the 2019-2022 period from January to December were 1,365,530, while in 2022 it reached 1,768,720. The analysis used a land grouping method of 1,144 hectares, which resulted in 800.4 hectares of productive land and 343.6 hectares of less effective land. The results of the C-menas clustering model are more than K-meas with shorter iterations while for predictions it has an accuracy rate of 90.77%. As a comparison, the level of accuracy of the fuzzy time series is 81.27%. The results of this study can be used as recommendations for companies in the analysis of productive land grouping analysis and forecast results from these lands.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

ijccs

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering

Description

Indonesian Journal of Computing and Cybernetics Systems (IJCCS), a two times annually provides a forum for the full range of scholarly study . IJCCS focuses on advanced computational intelligence, including the synergetic integration of neural networks, fuzzy logic and eveolutionary computation, so ...