Jurnal Bayesian : Jurnal Ilmiah Statistika dan Ekonometrika
Vol. 1 No. 2 (2021): Jurnal Bayesian : Jurnal Ilmiah Statistika dan Ekonometrika

MODELING OF OPEN UNEMPLOYMENT RATE AND PERCENTAGE OF POOR POPULATION WITH NONPARAMETRIC REGRESSION

Pardomuan Robinson Sihombing (Badan Pusat Statistik Indonesia)
Ahid Nur Istinah (Badan Pusat Statistik Kota Bandung)



Article Info

Publish Date
20 Sep 2021

Abstract

Poverty is often a topic discussed and debated in various national and international forums. The problem of poverty does not seem to be finished being discussed every day. Many factors have contributed to the high poverty rate in Indonesia, and one of them is the high unemployment rate. This research is aimed at modeling of open unemployment rate and percentage of poor population with nonparametric regression. The methods used are Nadaraya Watson Estimator (NEW), Local Polynomial Estimator (LPE) and Smoothing Spline regression. In choosing the best model using the smallest Mean Square Error (MSE) value. The pattern of the relationship between unemployment and the percentage of poor population based on the scatter plot shows an unclear pattern and does not follow a parametric regression pattern. The results of the comparison of the MSE value, smoothing spline has the smaller value than NWE

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Journal Info

Abbrev

home

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance Mathematics

Description

Jurnal Bayesian : Jurnal Ilmiah Statistika dan Ekonometrika adalah Jurnal Ilmiah yang terbit secara daring pada bulan MARET dan SEPTEMBER. untuk menyebarluaskan hasil-hasil penelitian dalam bidang Statistika, Ekonometrika dan sub ilmu statistika ...