MATICS : Jurnal Ilmu Komputer dan Teknologi Informasi (Journal of Computer Science and Information Technology)
Vol 15, No 1 (2023): MATICS

Chicken Menu Sales Forecasting System using Multiplicative Holt-Winters Triple Exponential Smoothing

Fajar Rohman Hariri (Unknown)
Johan Ericka Wahyu Prakasa (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
15 Apr 2023

Abstract

Forecasting is an art and a science predict events that will occur in the future based on data in the past. The ability of the restaurant in Management shows success in taking advantage of business opportunities optimal for interpreting past performance and planning for the future. This research uses Triple HoltWinters Exponential Smoothing Multiplicative method for sales forecasting.  Multiplicative Holt-Winters Triple Exponential Smoothing Method has the smallest percentage error (PE) of 9.946% with parameter values (α=0.1, β=0.1, ϒ=0.3). While the largest percentage error (PE) is obtained Multiplicative models with parameter values (α=0.3, β=0.3, ϒ=0.1) produce percentage error (PE) value of 11.879%. Menu sales forecasting results chickens using the Holt-Winters Triple Exponential Smoothing Method Multiplicative in the next month using parameter values (α=0.1, β=0.1, ϒ=0.3) is 4782 pcs.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

saintek

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

MATICS is a scientific publication for widespread research and criticism topics in Computer Science and Information Technology. The journal is published twice a year, in March and September by Department of Informatics Engineering, Faculty of Science and Technology, Universitas Islam Negeri Maulana ...