Xplore: Journal of Statistics
Vol. 2 No. 2 (2018): 31 Agustus 2018

Penanganan Data Tidak Seimbang pada Pemodelan Rotation Forest Keberhasilan Studi Mahasiswa Program Magister IPB

Junjun Wijaya (Institut Pertanian Bogor)
Agus M Soleh (Department of Statistics, IPB)
Akbar Rizki (Department of Statistics, IPB)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Aug 2018

Abstract

Graduate school of Bogor Agricultural University (SPs-IPB) stated that not all students of IPB master program successfully complete their studies. This becomes an evaluation for IPB to be more selective in choosing students in the future. This study aims to model the success classification of IPB master students in 2011 to 2015. The classification method used is rotation forest. The percentage of students who graduated is very large compared to those who did not pass, this can cause the evaluation value different. SMOTE (Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique) is one of method to handle such unbalanced data by generating artificial data. The ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristic) curve is built to see the optimum cut off value. There are two classification models, they are rotation forest models before and after handled by SMOTE. The comparison results show that the rotation forest model after SMOTE with cut off value 0.6 is the best model. This model can increase the sensitivity value more than 50% although the accuracy and specificity value decreased compared to the modeling before SMOTE.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

xplore

Publisher

Subject

Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Engineering Mathematics

Description

Xplore: Journal of Statistics diterbitkan berkala 3 (tiga) kali dalam setahun yang memuat tulisan ilmiah yang berhubungan dengan bidang statistika. Artikel yang dimuat berupa hasil penelitian atau kajian pustaka dalam bidang statistika dan atau penerapannya. ISSN: 2302-5751 Mulai Desember 2018, ...