JEMSI (Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen, dan Akuntansi)
Vol. 9 No. 4 (2023): Agustus 2023

Asian Stock Index Price Prediction Analysis Using Comparison of Split Data Training and Data Testing

Baharman Supri (Universitas Andi Djemma)
Rudianto (Universitas Andi Djemma)
Abdurohim (Universitas Jendral Ahmad Yani)
Badriatul Mawadah (Universitas Brawijaya)
Helmi Ali (Institut Teknologi dan Bisnis Haji Agus Salim (ITBHAS) Bukittinggi)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Aug 2023

Abstract

This study implements stock index price predictions using the LSTM method, where one of the processes in data management before running with the LSTM method is data split. This study also looks for the most appropriate split data ratio in predicting stock index prices to minimize error rates and differences in forecasted prices and original prices because in previous studies there were several rules of thumb in dividing data, so it is necessary to compare the most appropriate ratios in this research. Based on the evaluation process, the error value was found from nine split data ratios that were run by five ratios which produced a predictive graph line shape that resembled the validation line. Three datasets, namely split data ratios of 80:20, 70:30, and 60:40, are the ratios that get the lowest error values based on the RMSE, MSE, MAPE, and MAE values in the five stock index datasets. The three ratios are then compared again by looking at the average percentage difference between the validation price and the predicted price for the next working day, and it is found that the ratio of 80:20 is the most suitable split data ratio for predicting the stock index price for the next working day, with a level of difference in the average value between the original price and the predicted price on the stock index of 1.3%. While the ratio of 70:30 has an average predicted value of five stock index datasets of 1.9% and a ratio of 60:40 of 1.8%.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jemsi

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

JEMSI (Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen, dan Akuntansi) is an electronic independent international scientific and academic journal that aims to publish scholars’ original and high-quality manuscripts and reports in all fields of business. JEMSI adheres to an open access policy to accelerate the ...