JOURNAL OF INFORMATICS AND TELECOMMUNICATION ENGINEERING
Vol. 7 No. 1 (2023): Issues July 2023

Analysis and Prediction of Relative Humidity Level using Generalized Linear Model

Adi Nugroho (Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember)
Aditya Pramada Wicaksono (Unknown)
Achmad Choiruddin (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
28 Jul 2023

Abstract

The significance of humidity as a critical climate parameter impacts various sectors, including agriculture, health, and energy, necessitating a comprehensive understanding of its influencing factors. This study investigates the influence of climatic variables such as temperature, rainfall, sunshine duration, wind speed, and wind direction on the humidity levels in DKI Jakarta from 2019 to 2022. The objective is to develop a time-independent predictive model for humidity based on historical climate data. The methodology includes data pre-processing to impute missing values and replace outliers, followed by exploratory data analysis to ascertain variable distribution and inter-relationships. A regression model was initially employed for analysis, with subsequent application of regularization via a generalized linear model to enhance prediction accuracy. Results indicate that temperature, rainfall, sunshine duration, and wind direction significantly impact humidity levels in the investigated period. High inter-variable correlation posed challenges of multicollinearity and overfitting in the initial model. However, the application of regularization, trained with 75% of the historical dataset, mitigated these issues and improved model accuracy. This is evident in the improved Mean Squared Error (MSE) performance metrics of the Elastic-Net Regression Model (12.2), compared to the initial Multiple Regression Model (12.5). These findings hold potential implications for weather forecasting and climate change studies

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jite

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Engineering

Description

JURNAL TEKNIK INFORMATIKA, JITE (Journal of Informatics and Telecommunication Engineering) is a journal that contains articles / publications and research results of scientific work related to the field of science of Informatics Engineering such as Software Engineering, Database, Data Mining, ...