Al-Kharaj: Jurnal Ekonomi, Keuangan & Bisnis Syariah
Vol 5 No 6 (2023): Al-Kharaj: Jurnal Ekonomi, Keuangan & Bisnis Syariah

Dampak Deklarasi Capres-Cawapres terhadap Dinamika Pasar Modal di Indonesia:

Dedi Junaedi (IAI Nasional Laa Roiba Bogor)
Rio Kartika Supriyatna (IAI Nasional Laa Roiba Bogor)
Muhammad Rizal Arsyad, (Universitas Gunadarma, Jakarta)
Faisal Salistia (IAI Nasional Laa Roiba Bogor)
Sholikul Hadi (IAI Nasional Laa Roiba Bogor)
Abdul Husenudin (Institut Ummul Qurro Al-Islami (IUQI) Bogor)



Article Info

Publish Date
25 Oct 2023

Abstract

This research aims to analyze the impact of the declaration of the presidential and vice presidential candidates on the dynamics of the capital market in Indonesia. The method used is quantitative analysis with a multiple dummy variable regression approach. The results prove that the declaration of the presidential and vice presidential candidates has a significant impact on the dynamics of the capital market in Indonesia. The movements of conventional stock indices (Composite and LQ45) and sharia stock indices (JII70 and ISSI) are significantly influenced by the declaration of the presidential and vice presidential candidate pairs for the 2024 Election, with quite strong correlations (Composite 0.6242, LQ45 0.6805, JII70 0.7968, and ISSI 0.5181). The declaration of the Anies-Muhaimin pair (Capres1) is positively correlated with the movement of the Composite stock index, LQ45, JII70 and ISSI. Meanwhile, the declaration of the Ganjar-Mahfudz pair (Capres 2) and the Prabowo-Gibran pair had a negative correlation with the movement of the Composite stock index. Research facts show that the capital market responded positively to the declaration of pair number 1 (Anies-Muhainin). On the other hand, the capital market responded negatively to the declarations of pair Number 2 (Prabowo-Gibran) and pair Number 3 (Ganjar-Mahfudz). The capital market was under greater pressure after the Prabowo-Gibran pair was declared. Market pressure is greater on Prabowo-Gibran compared to the Ganjar-Mahfudz pair and the Anies-Amin pair. Keywords: presidential and vice presidential candidate declaration, conventional capital market, sharia capital market

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Journal Info

Abbrev

alkharaj

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

Description

AL-KHARAJ: The Journal of Islamic Economics, Finance & Business is a scientific journal published by the Center for Research and Strategic Studies (PRKS) of the Institute of Islamic Religion (IAI) National Laa Roiba Bogor. This journal contains scientific papers from academics, researchers and ...