Jurnal Nasional Pendidikan Teknik Informatika (JANAPATI)
Vol. 13 No. 1 (2024)

SARIMA with Sliding Window Implementation for Forecasting Seasonal Demand Data

Made Rama Pradipta (Unknown)
Gusti Made Arya Sasmita (Unknown)
Anak Agung Ngurah Hary Susila (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Mar 2024

Abstract

Demand forecasting is an essential part of business process management. A comparison of methods is needed to get the best model to provide good forecasting results. Difficulties in meeting consumer demands and predicting these requests using demand data at companies CV. ABCD is the main problem in this research. The SARIMA and decomposition methods are used for comparison and search for the best model before forecasting. SARIMA  with a windowing size of 56, indicating the smallest MAPE value of 3,91%. The value <10%, so it can be said to produce an excellent forecasting value. Forecasting results with SARIMA  show a meeting between actual and forecasting data in 2022. Therefore, it can be said the forecasting results for 2023 and 2024 can be used as a reference for the company CV. ABCD to meet customer demand and avoid stock shortages.

Copyrights © 2024






Journal Info

Abbrev

janapati

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Education Engineering

Description

Jurnal Nasional Pendidikan Teknik Informatika (JANAPATI) is a collection of scientific articles in the field of Informatics / ICT Education widely and the field of Information Technology, published and managed by Jurusan Pendidikan Teknik Informatika, Fakultas Teknik dan Kejuruan, Universitas ...