Kesatria : Jurnal Penerapan Sistem Informasi (Komputer dan Manajemen)
Vol 2, No 1 (2021): Edisi Januari

Penerapan Algoritma Backpropagation Dalam Memprediksi Jumlah Pengguna Kereta Api Di Pulau Sumatera

Vivi Auladina (STIKOM Tunas Bangsa, Pematangsiantar, Sumatera Utara, Indonesia)
Jaya Tata Hardinata (STIKOM Tunas Bangsa, Pematangsiantar, Sumatera Utara, Indonesia)
M. Fauzan (STIKOM Tunas Bangsa, Pematangsiantar, Sumatera Utara, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Jan 2021

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to analyze and test whether the number of train passengers in Indonesia can be predicted by using artificial intelligence techniques. In this study, the artificial intelligence technique used is the Artificial Neural Network Technique (ANN) with the Backpropagation method. Artificial neural network is a method that has been widely used to solve forecasting cases. The main difficulties in implementing neural network methods in forecasting are finding the right architectural combination, determining the appropriate learning rate parameter values and selecting the optimal training algorithm. The research data is secondary data sourced from the bps.go.id website from 2006 - 2019. The data in this study were computerized using the matlab application. From the 5 architectural models used, the best model based on computerized results with the Matlab application is 3-3-1 with an output value of 0.0215923 MSE. The accuracy of the truth obtained is 92%.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

kesatria

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering

Description

KESATRIA: Jurnal Penerapan Sistem Informasi (Komputer & Manajemen) adalah sebuah jurnal peer-review secara online yang diterbitkan bertujuan sebagai sebuah forum penerbitan tingkat nasional di Indonesia bagi para peneliti, profesional, Mahasiswa dan praktisi dari industri dalam bidang Ilmu ...