BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan
Vol 18 No 2 (2024): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Application

MODELLING CRIME RATES IN INDONESIA USING TRUNCATED SPLINE ESTIMATOR

Juniar, Muhammad Althof (Unknown)
Fania, Azzahra (Unknown)
Ulya, Diana (Unknown)
Ramadhan, Rico (Unknown)
Chamidah, Nur (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
25 May 2024

Abstract

Criminal acts are actions that violate the law and can arise from various factors such as emotions, psychological pressure, and others. Crime rate is a number that indicate the level of crime vulnerability in a certain area at a certain time. Higher crime rates correspond to increased vulnerability in an area, and vice versa. Among various forms of criminal acts, the number of criminal acts and narcotics crimes in Indonesia tends to increase in 2020 and 2021. The aim of the research is to identify the characteristics of crime rate data based on the number of decency and narcotics incidents in Indonesia using a nonparametric regression approach. This research uses a nonparametric regression method spline truncated and linear regression as comparison. It was found that West Papua Province has the highest crime rate, based on a comparison between linear regression model and truncated spline nonparametric regression model, it can be concluded that the best model is the truncated spline nonparametric regression model with a Generalized Cross Validation (GCV) of 2468.487 and a coefficient of determination of 0 .7389091, indicating that approximately 73% of the variability of the dependent variable can be explained by the independent variables included in the model.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

barekeng

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Economics, Econometrics & Finance Energy Engineering Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Physics Transportation

Description

BAREKENG: Jurnal ilmu Matematika dan Terapan is one of the scientific publication media, which publish the article related to the result of research or study in the field of Pure Mathematics and Applied Mathematics. Focus and scope of BAREKENG: Jurnal ilmu Matematika dan Terapan, as follows: - Pure ...