Economic Development Analysis Journal
Vol 11 No 4 (2022): Economics Development Analysis Journal

Does Rapid Urbanization Drive Deforestation? Evidence From Southeast Asia

Mohamad Egi Destiartono (Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Indonesia, Depok, Indonesia)
Djoni Hartono (Research Cluster on Energy Modeling and Regional Economic Analysis, Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Indonesia, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Dec 2022

Abstract

The issue of rapid deforestation is still ongoing in Southeast Asia. Urbanization boosts demand for land and processed food which can generate environmental degradation. This article intends to present the resuls of an investigation to the nexus between urbanization and deforestation in Southeast Asia from 1996 to 2020 as well as control economic and demographic factors. The data were collected from World Development Indicators and Our World in Data. The Pooled Mean Group (PMG) estimation and Dumitrescu-Hurlin (DH) were applied to examine the short- and long-run effect and the direction of causality variables. The co-integration test has confirmed that the long-run relationship was evident. The results supported the Ecological Modernization Theory (EMT) hypothesis that the relationship between urbanization and deforestation is non-linear, following an inverted U-shape. A turning point occured when the urbanization level reached 64.76%, i.e., the upper-acceleration stage. Rural-urban migration and urban population growth will continue to drive forest loss since Southeast Asia was dominated by low-level urbanization countries. Only Brunei and Malaysia surpassed the threshold of 64.76%. In addition, there is a bidirectional causality relationship between deforestation and urbanization. Strong integration between urban development policies and forest governance is required to reduce the damaging impact of urbanization on forest resources.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

edaj

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Focus and Scope Economic Development Analysis Journal is a scientific journal who published by Department of Economic Development, Faculty of Economics, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia. this journal published four times per year on February, May, August, and November and start publishing ...