Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistika
Vol. 5 No. 1 (2024): Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistik

PENERAPAN METODE DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING DARI BROWN UNTUK PREDIKSI PENDAPATAN MINIMARKET

Lina Lina (Universitas Pamulang)
Andi Nur Rahman (Universitas Pamulang)
Isnurani Isnurani (Universitas Pamulang)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Apr 2024

Abstract

Indomaret is a trade mini market that sells retail goods originating from factories and then distributed at retail prices. Indomaret's revenue is obtained from the sale of merchandise according to the price determined by the company. However, in the midst of the onslaught of Covid-19 and the threat of a recession, there is a problem from the sales side, namely Indomaret's revenue has decreased since November 2021 to October 2022. Another problem Indomaret is also facing is how to make the minimarket's income reach the target set by the company and adjust it to the stock of goods which is kept in store. So that efforts are needed to forecast sales results in the future and then determine a strategy that is in accordance with the results of the forecast. This study uses the Double Exponential Smoothing Brown Linear 1 parameter method which aims to predict revenue results in November and December 2022 and determine the best alpha parameter. Obtained the amount of inomaret Hj. Enting in November 2022 is IDR 388,772,979.030 and December 2022 is IDR 367,905,870.938. The parameter that minimizes the error value is alpha 0.4 with a MAPE value of 7.6%.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

home

Publisher

Subject

Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Education Mathematics

Description

Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistika Jurnal Lebesgue Adalah Jurnal Ilmiah yang terbit secara daring pada bulan April, Agustus dan Desember. untuk menyebarluaskan hasil-hasil penelitian dalam bidang matematika, statistika, aktuaria, matematika terapan, ...