JUITA : Jurnal Informatika
JUITA Vol. 12 No. 1, May 2024

Number of Cyber Attacks Predicted With Deep Learning Based LSTM Model

Joko Siswanto (Politeknik Keselamatan Transportasi Jalan)
Irwan Sembiring (Satya Wacana Christian University)
Adi Setiawan (Satya Wacana Christian University)
Iwan Setyawan (Satya Wacana Christian University)



Article Info

Publish Date
20 May 2024

Abstract

The increasing number of cyber attacks will result in various damages to the functioning of technological infrastructure. A prediction model for the number of cyber attacks based on the type of attack, handling actions and severity using time-series data has never been done. A deep learning-based LSTM prediction model is proposed to predict the number of cyberattacks in a time series on 3 evaluated data sets MSLE, MSE, MAE, RMSE, and MAPE, and displays the predicted relationships between prediction variables. Cyber attack dataset obtained from kaggle.com. The best prediction model is epoch 20, batch size 16, and neuron 32 with the lowest evaluation value on MSLE of 0.094, MSE of 9.067, MAE of 2.440, RMSE of 3.010, and MAPE of 10.507 (very good model because the value is less than 15) compared other variations. There is a negative correlation for INTRUSION-MALWARE, BLOCKED-IGNORED, IGNORED-LOGGED, and LOW-MEDIUM. The predicted results for the next 12 months will increase starting from the second month at the same time. The resulting predictions can be used as a basis for policy and strategy decisions by stakeholders in dealing with fluctuations in cyber attacks that occur.

Copyrights © 2024






Journal Info

Abbrev

JUITA

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

UITA: Jurnal Informatika is a science journal and informatics field application that presents articles on thoughts and research of the latest developments. JUITA is a journal peer reviewed and open access. JUITA is published by the Informatics Engineering Study Program, Universitas Muhammadiyah ...