JURNAL ILMIAH MATEMATIKA DAN TERAPAN
Vol. 20 No. 2 (2023)

Prediksi Tingkat Inflasi Di Indonesia Menggunakan Metode Average Based Fuzzy Time Series

Nurul Ikrima (Unknown)
Agus Indra Jaya (Unknown)
Abdul Mahatir Najar (Unknown)
Hajar (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
14 Dec 2023

Abstract

Inflation is a very important indicator in maintaining the stability of the country's economy, so it is necessary to predict the inflation rate to determine the movement of the inflation rate in the future. To predict the inflation rate in Indonesia in 2023, this research uses the Average Based Fuzzy Time Series (FTS) method based on Python programming. This method uses the principle of fuzzy set as the basis of its calculation. The data used in this study are monthly data on inflation rates in Indonesia for the period January 2013 - December 2022 obtained from the official website of Bank Indonesia (BI). The results showed that the prediction of the inflation rate in Indonesia in 2023 was in the range of 5.23% - 5.51% with the highest inflation value occurring in April and the lowest inflation value occurring in January. The accuracy level of the Average Based FTS method is calculated using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 0.820849835% which indicates that the method can be used to predict the inflation rate. Keywords : Average Based, FTS, Inflation, Prediction, Python

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Journal Info

Abbrev

JIMT

Publisher

Subject

Mathematics

Description

Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika dan Terapan adalah Jurnal yang diterbitkan oleh Program Studi Matematika FMIPA Universitas Tadulako. Jurnal ini menerbitkan artikel hasil penelitian atau telaah pustaka bersifat original meliputi semua konsentrasi bidang ilmu matematika dan terapannya, seperti analisis, ...