Jurnal Teknik Mesin, Industri, Elektro dan Informatika
Vol. 3 No. 1 (2024): Maret : JURNAL TEKNIK MESIN, INDUSTRI, ELEKTRO DAN INFORMATIKA

Analisis Peramalan Kebutuhan Komponen Minifix Bolt Dia di PT XYZ Menggunakan Metode Time Series

Alfan Afiyudin (Unknown)
Dwi S. Donoriyanto (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Dec 2023

Abstract

PT XYZ is a company that produces furniture products that use the "Make to stock" method to meet consumer demand. In the production process, there is often a buildup of raw materials, one of which is the minifix bolt component, which causes a buildup of raw materials in the warehouse. Therefore, it is necessary to forecast raw materials to predict the amount of raw materials each period. In the forecasting process, you can use the moving average and single ex-ponential smoothing methods. From the calculation results using the POM-QM software, the MAD (Mean Absolute Deviation) value was 13,111.11, MSE (Mean Squared Error) was 261,975,300, MAPE (Mean Absolute Percent Error) was 226,303%. From the software output results, it is known that the smallest MAD, MSE, and MAPE values ​​of the three methods are the moving average method. So this method was chosen to solve problems within the company because the smaller the error that occurs, the smaller the possibility of something bad happening.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jtmei

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Electrical & Electronics Engineering Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering

Description

JTMEI merupakan jurnal ilmiah berkala dengan ciri khas/identitas bidang Teknik (Mekanik, Elektrikal, Industri, Informatika, Sipil dan Sains). Tema makalah ini difokuskan pada aplikasi industri baru, kelautan dan pengembangan energi hijau yang ...