Edsence: Jurnal Pendidikan Multimedia
Volume 6 No 1 (June 2024)

Forecasting Demand for Motorbikes at Astra Motor Balikpapan Using Support Vector Regressor

Rizki, Rifaldho Muhammad (Unknown)
Mujahidin, Syamsul (Unknown)
Paninggalih, Ramadhan (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
07 Jun 2024

Abstract

Forecasting requests for motorbikes is a critical aspect of Astra Motor Balikpapan's operations. The Support Vector Regression (SVR) model, a method commonly used in forecasting, is particularly useful when dealing with complex data that may contain outliers and when the data is limited. This research evaluates the performance of the SVR model in estimating requested motorbikes at Astra Motor Balikpapan for 3, 6, 9, and 12 months, and analyzes the impact of parameter changes in the model evaluation. The request data for Astra Motor Balikpapan motorbikes used for five years or 60 months, which are divided into two parts: training and test data. The SVR model was built with three Kernel types: linear, polynomial, and RBF kernels. The evaluation results demonstrate the SVR model's ability to predict request motorbike with Sufficient accuracy, with minor mark errors, including an average MAE of about 0.49, RMSE of about 0.58, and R² score of about 0.99. Parameter changes also affect model evaluation, as in the case of ADV motorbike with RBF kernel; adjustment of parameter C from 0.01 to 10 results in significant accuracy, decreasing MAE from 0.36 to 0.004. This study concludes that the SVR model is an effective method for predicting motorcycle requests, with practical implications for Astra Motor Balikpapan's operations.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

Edsence

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Education Other

Description

Jurnal Pendidikan Multimedia (Edsense) is a national journal intended as a communication forum for Multimedia and other scientists from many practitioners who use Multimedia in research. Edsense received a manuscript in areas of study Multimedia widely, and multidisciplinary based on Multimedia ...