Sahid Banking Journal
Vol 3 No 01 (2023): OKTOBER 2023

ANALISIS PERAMALAN JUMLAH TABUNGAN HAJI BANK PEMBIAYAAN RAKYAT SYARIAH (BPRS) AMANAH UMMAH PADA MASA PANDEMI COVID-19

Suhartini, Shinta (Unknown)
Thantawi, Tubagus Rifqy (Unknown)
Mursyidah, Azizah (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Oct 2023

Abstract

This research was motivated by the Covid-19 pandemic which resulted in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia restricting the pilgrims, and also suppressing the growth of Hajj savings in Indonesia. Therefore, the decline in economic growth due to the Covid-19 pandemic has increased the number of hajj cancellations and reduced the number of new hajj registrations. Forecasting is a method for estimating a future value using past data. This research was conducted at the Amanah Ummah BPRS which has a Hajj savings product, the forecasting is carried out using a linear trend mathematical equation model, a quadratic trend and an exponential trend. Choose the smallest method of the 3 methods because the smaller the forecast error value, the more accurate the results and can produce the optimal number. Mean Square Error (MSE) Linear trend of 73099,70379, Mean Square Error (MSE) of Quadratic Trend of 73140,71139 and Mean Square Error (MSE) of Exponential Trend of 74836,49328 From the selected forecasting results is Mean Square Error (MSE) Linear trend. And it was found that the total number of Hajj savings in December 2023 was 346,27222421 rounded up to 374.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

SahidBankingJ

Publisher

Subject

Religion Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Sahid Banking Journal adalah peer-reviewed jurnal ilmiah berisi hasil penelitian ilmiah primer, kajian, ulasan ilmiah atau komentar/ kritik atas artikel yang diterbitkan di Sahid Banking Journal. Sahid Banking Journal menerima manuskrip atau artkel dalam bidang perbankan dan keuangan syariah dari ...