Journal of Computer System and Informatics (JoSYC)
Vol 5 No 4 (2024): August 2024

Perbandingan Metode Deep Learning dengan Model LSTM dan GRU untuk Prediksi Perubahan Iklim

Mustofa, Amin (Unknown)
Setiawan, Hendra (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
13 Aug 2024

Abstract

Climate plays a critical role in determining the quality of life in Indonesia, which demands in-depth understanding through the Koppen climate classification and the latest technology. From agriculture to urban infrastructure, public health, to ecosystem sustainability, every aspect of our lives is affected by climate conditions. Deep Learning methods such as Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Units (GRU) are used to predict time series data because of their adaptive ability in learning complex data patterns. The LSTM and GRU models were tested with 2010-2021 data using batch_size 64, epochs 150, optimizer adam, and showed high accuracy (<10%). LSTM recorded MAPE: Rainfall 5.50%, Humidity 7.60%, Temperature 4.36%, Sunlight 8.29%. GRU recorded MAPE: Rainfall 5.01%, Humidity 6.86%, Temperature 4.35%, Sunlight 8.28%. Predictions for 2028 show that the Special Region of Yogyakarta has a Tropical Monsoon (Am), Tropical Savannah (As) and Tropical Rain Forest (Af) climate. These climate changes have significant impacts: increased rainfall increases the risk of flooding, threatening infrastructure and lives, while the As climate reduces agricultural productivity and increases food insecurity. Changes in rainfall and temperature affect people's health, with high humidity increasing the risk of tropical diseases and high temperatures causing heat stress. Climate change in the Am type increases the risk of floods and landslides, while in the Af type it threatens tropical rainforest ecosystems.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

josyc

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering

Description

Journal of Computer System and Informatics (JoSYC) covers the whole spectrum of Artificial Inteligent, Computer System, Informatics Technique which includes, but is not limited to: Soft Computing, Distributed Intelligent Systems, Database Management and Information Retrieval, Evolutionary ...