Variance : Journal of Statistics and Its Applications
Vol 6 No 2 (2024): VARIANCE: Journal of Statistics and Its Applications

SPATIAL AUTOREGRESSIVE (SAR) POISSON MODELING IN DENGUE FEVER CASES ON LOMBOK ISLAND IN 2021

Husnaeni, Ririn Robiatul (Unknown)
Hauliati, Siti (Unknown)
Sholihah, Imroatun (Unknown)
Lasmiani, Bq Tia Ayu (Unknown)
Hastuti, Siti Hariati (Unknown)
Gazali, Muhammad (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Oct 2024

Abstract

Indonesia, the fourth most populous country in the world with 275.5 million people, faces increasing human activity that can lead to negative impacts such as the spread of infectious diseases. One of these diseases is Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF), which is particularly susceptible in residential areas with poor environmental hygiene. The rising number of DHF cases on Lombok Island is a significant concern. This study employs a spatial analysis modeling approach, specifically the Spatial Autoregressive Poisson (SAR Poisson) model, which considers the spatial dependence of dengue cases assumed to follow a Poisson distribution. The objective is to model and map the potential distribution of DHF cases on Lombok Island in 2021. The analysis reveals spatial autocorrelation in the data based on Moran's I. Significant variables affecting DHF cases include the number of permanent sanitation facilities (X2) and the number of drinking water facilities (X3). Mapping results based on the SAR Poisson model indicate that the distribution of DHF cases is relatively uniform across most sub-districts, with the highest incidence suspected in Tanjung Sub-district

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Journal Info

Abbrev

variance

Publisher

Subject

Mathematics

Description

Jurnal ini diterbitkan oleh Program Studi Statistik Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam, Universitas Pattimura, Ambon. Jurnal ini diterbitkan 2 kali pada bulan Juni dan ...