JURNAL ILMIAH MATEMATIKA DAN TERAPAN
Vol. 21 No. 2 (2024)

Comparison of Random Survival Forest and Fuzzy Random Survival Forest Models in Telecommunications Industry Customer Data

Nurhaliza, Sitti (Unknown)
Harismahyanti, Andi (Unknown)
Najiha, Alimatun (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
16 Dec 2024

Abstract

The telecommunications sector is facing increasing competition, and customer churn is still a majorchallenge despite the implementation of advanced promotions and high-quality services. Churn refers tothe discontinuation of services by customers, influenced by several factors that can be found through datamodeling. This study compares two predictive models, Random Survival Forest (RSF) and Fuzzy RandomSurvival Forest (FRSF), for predicting customer churn time in the telecommunications industry. Bothmodels are evaluated using the median C-index value obtained from 20 repetitions, ensuring moreconsistent and reliable results. RSF, a widely used survival analysis method, has shown strong predictivepower, with studies reporting up to 99% accuracy in churn prediction. However, FRSF, a modified versionthat incorporates fuzzy logic, has proved superior performance, particularly in handling imprecise oruncertain data. The results show that FRSF achieves a lower error rate of 0.1739, compared to RSF's errorrate of 0.1906. These findings suggest that FRSF outperforms RSF in churn prediction, making it a morereliable and righter model for finding at-risk customers. The study concludes that the FRSF model is thepreferred choice for predicting churn in the telecommunications industry, offering better predictive qualityand consistency in handling uncertain data.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

JIMT

Publisher

Subject

Mathematics

Description

Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika dan Terapan adalah Jurnal yang diterbitkan oleh Program Studi Matematika FMIPA Universitas Tadulako. Jurnal ini menerbitkan artikel hasil penelitian atau telaah pustaka bersifat original meliputi semua konsentrasi bidang ilmu matematika dan terapannya, seperti analisis, ...