Jambura Journal of Mathematics
Vol 6, No 2: August 2024

Comparative Analysis of ARIMA and LSTM for Forecasting Maximum Wind Speed in Kupang City, East Nusa Tenggara

Magfirrah, Indah (Unknown)
Ilma, Meisyatul (Unknown)
Notodiputro, Khairil Anwar (Unknown)
Angraini, Yenni (Unknown)
Mualifah, Laily Nissa Atul (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Aug 2024

Abstract

This study compares the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models for predicting maximum wind speed based on accuracy measured by Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). Based on the results of the research, the LSTM model is better than the ARIMA model in predicting maximum wind speed in Kupang City, East Nusa Tenggara Province. The best LSTM model has hyperparameters of 200 epochs; batch size of 32; learning rate of 0,001; and 8 neurons. Based on the evaluation results of predicted data against actual data, the MAPE value of the LSTM model is 19,40%. The benefit of this research is that it can contribute to the literature on the development of wind utilization as a basis for building power plants on small islands as a renewable resource, particularly in Kupang City, East Nusa Tenggara.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jjom

Publisher

Subject

Mathematics

Description

Jambura Journal of Mathematics (JJoM) is a peer-reviewed journal published by Department of Mathematics, State University of Gorontalo. This journal is available in print and online and highly respects the publication ethic and avoids any type of plagiarism. JJoM is intended as a communication forum ...