JIPI (Jurnal Ilmiah Penelitian dan Pembelajaran Informatika)
Vol 9, No 4 (2024)

CRICKET PRODUCTION FORECASTING USING THE MOVING AVERAGE METHOD

Suseno, Pangki (Unknown)
Junianto, Dwi (Unknown)
Sukmana, Farid (Unknown)
Pamungkas, Bian Dwi (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Dec 2024

Abstract

Cricket production in Indonesia has promising business potential, particularly in rural areas. However, production variability is often a major challenge for farmers to maintain economic stability. Therefore, production forecasting methods are needed for better management. This study aims to predict cricket production using Moving Average (MA) and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) methods and compare their accuracy. The research was conducted in Rejotangan District, Tulungagung, using 12 weeks of cricket production data from May to August 2024. The accuracy of the method was measured using Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD), Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). From this research, the best model that can be used to predict the amount of cricket production is the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) model with n = 4 with the lowest prediction accuracy value (MAD, MSE and MAPE) of 16.05, 514.513 and 10.985% respectively. From the forecasting results, the total production of crickets in the existing farm for one period ahead with the WMA model n = 4 is 150.9 kg.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Education

Description

JIPI (Jurnal Ilmiah Penelitian dan Pembelajaran Informatika) e-ISSN: 2540 - 8984 was made to accommodate the results of scientific work in the form of research or papers are made in the form of journals, particularly the field of Information Technology. JIPI is a journal that is managed by the ...