Jurnal Inovasi Ekonomi Syariah dan Akuntansi
Vol. 2 No. 1 (2025): Januari : Jurnal Inovasi Ekonomi Syariah dan Akuntansi (JIESA)

Estimasi Peramalan Volatilitas Return Saham Perusahaan Sektor Energi Pada Indeks Saham Syariah Indonesia (ISSI)

Danisya Kayla Putri Mayari (Unknown)
Cupian Cupian (Unknown)
Sarah Annisa Noven (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
25 Jan 2025

Abstract

This study aims to determine the forecasting of stock return volatility of energy companies listed on the Indonesian Sharia Stock Index (ISSI) using the ARCH/GARCH method. This study uses purposive sampling method and uses secondary data in the form of daily stock returns from January 2022 to June 2024 on 10 selected stocks. Data processing is done using Stata software. The results showed that of the 10 selected stocks, only 6 stocks, namely BYAN, ADRO, GEMS, PTBA, AKRA, and BSSR, were suitable for analysis using the ARCH/GARCH model. Meanwhile, PGAS, ITMG, PTRO, and HRUM do not show ARCH effect or do not contain heteroscedasticity. Statistical evaluation of volatility prediction shows that the selected models provide good predictions. Among the six stocks analyzed, ADRO, PTBA, and BSSR show high volatility, while BYAN, GEMS, and AKRA show low volatility. Therefore, investors should consider investment risk when evaluating stocks with different levels of volatility.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

JIESA

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Jurnal Inovasi Ekonomi Syariah dan Akuntansi (JIESA) merupakan jurnal yang dikhususkan untuk publikasi artikel ilmiah yang diterbitkan oleh Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia. Jurnal ini terbit 4 kali dalam setahun yaitu pada bulan Januari, Maret, Mei, Juli, September, dan November. Misi ...