International Journal of Computing Science and Applied Mathematics
Vol 11, No 1 (2025)

Analysis of GDP in Countries allied to Indonesia using a Combination of the GSTAR Model and Verification using Statistical Quality Control

Huda, Nur'ainul Miftahul (Department of Mathematics, FMIPA, Universitas Tanjungpura)
Imro'ah, Nurfitri (Department of Statistics, FMIPA, Universitas Tanjungpura)
Umairah, Tarisa (Department of Statistics, FMIPA, Universitas Tanjungpura)
Utami, Dewi Setyo (Department of Statistics, FMIPA, Universitas Tanjungpura)
Arini, Nani Fitria (Department of Mathematics, FMIPA, Universitas Tanjungpura)



Article Info

Publish Date
21 Feb 2025

Abstract

The Generalized Space-Time Autoregressive (GSTAR) model is used to model GDP growth rates in Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, and Brunei Darussalam, allied countries. Southeast Asian countries have cultural and historical linkages and often share economic tendencies. GSTAR is used because it can represent GDP dynamics' complex spatial and temporal relationships. Historical GDP data for the four countries from 1975 to the present is collected. The GSTAR model models regional interdependence and temporal patterns in these economies' geographical and temporal linkages. To test GSTAR model accuracy and robustness, control chart analysis is done. Control charts help monitor and assess economic model stability. The data used in this study is GDP data in Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Brunei Darussalam, and Thailand, was collected from 1975 to 2021. This study discusses GSTAR model projections with actual GDP growth rate data to identify economic abnormalities in these linked countries. This research has major consequences for regional politicians, economists, and businesses. Policy decisions, investment strategies, and GSTAR model economic forecasts can benefit from understanding these countries' GDP growth interdependencies and patterns. Control chart analysis also assures the model accurately tracks economic trends over time. Finally, the GSTAR model and control chart analysis give a complete framework for modeling and testing allied GDP growth rates

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Journal Info

Abbrev

ijcsam

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Education Mathematics

Description

(IJCSAM) International Journal of Computing Science and Applied Mathematics is an open access journal publishing advanced results in the fields of computations, science and applied mathematics, as mentioned explicitly in the scope of the journal. The journal is geared towards dissemination of ...