IMAGE
Vol 12, No 2 (2024): Image : Jurnal Riset Manajemen

The Difference between Corporate Rating Migration Probability during Economic Contraction and Expansion in Indonesia

Ramadhani, Remuni El (Unknown)
Rahim, Rida (Unknown)
Adrianto, Fajri (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
05 Nov 2024

Abstract

Corporate Rating is one of the tools of Signaling Theory, expected to provide clear and standardized signals of a company’s financial health and credit risk. However, according to the experts, the regulation of Corporate Rating issuance by Credit Rating Agency (CRA) becomes a hindrance to the timeliness of company information updates, especially during sudden large-scale economic shifts. Based on this issue, this research aims to examine the differences between Corporate Rating migration probabilities under two different economic conditions: contraction and expansion. Before conducted hypothesis testing, the secondary data from 73 sample companies were processed using Markov-Switching Autoregressive (MSVAR) and Multinomial Logistic Regression methods. Ther results of this study shows that there is no difference in the probability of a Corporate Rating downgrade during both economic conditions. On the other side, the probability of a Corporate Rating upgrade is smaller during economic contraction, and there is a difference in the probability of a Corporate Rating remained unchange between both economic conditions.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

image

Publisher

Subject

Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management

Description

IMAGE with registered number ISSN 2339-2878 (Print), is a peer-reviewed journal published two times a year (April and November) by Program Studi Manajemen Fakultas Pendidikan Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Pendidikan Indonesia. IMAGE is intended to be the journal for publishing articles reporting ...