Islamiconomic: Jurnal Ekonomi Islam
Vol 16, No 1 (2025)

Estimation of Multivariate-GARCH Models to Stock Return an Islamic Banks in Indonesia and Malaysia

Ibrahim, Zaini (Unknown)
Anita, Anita (Unknown)
Marfuah, Siti (Unknown)
Fitriani, Nurul (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Jun 2025

Abstract

This research aims to forecast Islamic banking stock returns and compare the stock performance of Islamic banks in Indonesia and Malaysia. This research uses the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) method in estimating stock volatility with variance based on market models, known as the Conditional-Capital Pricing Asset Model (C-CAPM). The sample selection technique used a purposive sampling method, and a sample of three commercial Islamic shares in Indonesia and four shares of Bank Islam Malaysia were obtained. The research results prove that Islamic Commercial Bank shares on the Indonesian and Malaysian Stock Exchanges are efficient shares so they are recommended to own, with a ranking based on actual return calculations in Indonesia, namely: 37.7% (BRIS); 35.5% (PNBS); 5.70% (BTPS); and in Malaysia. as follows: 35.7% (KFH); 13.6% (AFIN); 1.70% (RAJHI); 1.0% (CIMB). The Welch F-test with the C-CAPM model proves no difference between the stock returns of Islamic banks in Indonesia and Malaysia.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

ijei

Publisher

Subject

Religion Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

Description

Islamiconomic: Jurnal Ekonomi Islam (IJEI) is a periodical scientific publication intended for economists who want to publish their articles in the form of literature studies, research, and scientific development in the field of Islamic economics. IJEI was first published in 2009 which is annually ...