Assyarikah: Journal Of Islamic Economic Business
Vol 6, No 1 (2025): Assyarikah: Journal Of Islamic Economic Business

Predicting Financial Distress in Islamic Banking: Evidence from Bank Muamalat Indonesia Using the Springate Model and Financial Ratios

Rafiqi, Iqbal (Unknown)
Nadhirah, Afifah (Unknown)
Mujibno, Mujibno (Unknown)
Abidin, Zainal (Unknown)
Faizah, Maftuhatul (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Jun 2025

Abstract

This study assesses the potential for financial distress in Bank Muamalat Indonesia the country’s pioneering Islamic bank by integrating financial ratio analysis with the Springate predictive model. Triggered by persistent fluctuations in profitability metrics, the study investigates whether key financial indicators. Return on Assets (ROA), Return on Equity (ROE), Operating Expenses to Operating Income (BOPO), and Financing to Deposit Ratio (FDR) significantly influence financial distress. Using a descriptive quantitative design and quarterly data from 2016 to 2022, multiple regression results indicate that none of the selected ratios exert a statistically significant effect (p > 0.05). However, the Springate model consistently produced S-scores above the distress threshold (0.862), indicating financial resilience throughout the study period. The findings suggest that while traditional performance ratios may lack predictive accuracy in this context, the Springate model provides a more reliable early-warning framework for assessing financial health. This study contributes to the literature on financial risk diagnostics in Islamic banking and offers practical implications for enhancing Shariah-compliant internal supervision systems.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

Assyarikah

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Journal of Assyarikah: Journal of Islamic Economic Business is a scientific journal published to support the development of Islamic economics and Islamic finance. Journal of Assyarikah: Journal of Islamic Economics and Islamic Finance will contain articles related to Islamic economic studies in both ...