Mandalika Mathematics and Educations Journal
Vol 7 No 2 (2025): Edisi Juni

Pemodelan Kejadian Penyakit Tuberkulosis di Provinsi Jawa Barat Tahun 2023 Menggunakan Metode Geographically Weighted Negative Binomial Regression (GWNBR)

Ratu Bunga Prawesti Arie Salim (Unknown)
Anuraga, Gangga (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
26 Jun 2025

Abstract

Tuberculosis (TB) is the leading cause of death due to infection by the bacteria Mycobacterium tuberculosis, which can attack the lungs and other organs. Reducing TB rates is one of the main targets in the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). In 2023, Indonesia will be ranked second in the world for TB cases after India, with West Java Province as one of the main contributors experiencing a significant increase, namely 160,966 cases in the productive age group (≥15 years) and 50,993 cases in the children's group (0–14 years). This study aims to analyze the factors that influence the number of TB cases in West Java Province in the productive age group using the Geographically Weighted Negative Binomial Regression (GWNBR) method, which considers spatial aspects between regions and is able to handle overdispersion problems in count data. The six independent variables tested include population density, percentage of public places that meet health requirements, number of hospitals, percentage of the population who smoke, air quality index, and number of HIV sufferers. The modeling results using the GWNBR method with Fixed Kernel Gaussian weighting produced ten regional groups, each with different risk factor characteristics for the number of TB cases.

Copyrights © 2025






Journal Info

Abbrev

MANDALIKA

Publisher

Subject

Mathematics

Description

Mandalika Mathematics and Education Journal adalah Jurnal Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika yang dikelola oleh Program Studi S1 Pendidikan Matematika FKIP Universitas Mataram. Fokus dan ruang lingkup dari jurnal ini adalah artikel ilmiah baik berupa hasil penelitian, review artikel maupun kajian ...