EDUMATIC: Jurnal Pendidikan Informatika
Vol 9 No 1 (2025): Edumatic: Jurnal Pendidikan Informatika

Peningkatan Akurasi Prediksi Curah Hujan menggunakan Gradient Boosting dan CatBoost dengan Pendekatan Voting Classifier

Fudhlatina, Dina (Unknown)
Budiman, Fikri (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
09 Apr 2025

Abstract

Accurate rainfall prediction is essential for agriculture, disaster mitigation, and water resource management, especially in the face of climate change impacts. This research aims to improve the accuracy of rainfall prediction using gradient boosting and CatBoost with a voting classifier approach. The data used in this study amounted to 1,461 based on weather data from BMKG Semarang City (2020-2023). The data was analyzed using the Gradient Boosting and CatBoost algorithms with a voting classifier framework. The input features include temperature (Tn, Tx, Tavg), humidity (RH_avg), rainfall (RR), length of irradiation (ss), wind speed (ff_x, ff_avg), and wind direction (ddd_x). The GridSearchCV technique was used for hyperparameter optimization. The model predicts based on rainfall intensity categories, namely no rain, light rain, moderate rain, heavy rain, and extreme rain. The results showed that the model with optimization and ensemble approach achieved 87.89% accuracy, 0.88 precision, 0.88 recall, 0.88 f1-score, and 0.8486 cohen's kappa. Meanwhile, gradient boosting and CatBoost individually produced 75.99% and 85.68% accuracy. With these data input features, the model is able to predict extreme rainfall categories that match the actual data. This research is an important contribution to the development of early weather warning systems, disaster mitigation, and climate management.

Copyrights © 2025






Journal Info

Abbrev

edumatic

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Education

Description

EDUMATIC: Jurnal Pendidikan Informatika (e-ISSN: 2549-7472) adalah jurnal ilmiah bidang pendidikan informatika yang diterbitkan oleh Universitas Hamzanwadi dua kali setahun yaitu pada bulan Juni dan Desember. Adapun fokus dan skup jurnal ini adalah (1) Komputer dan Informatika dalam Pendidikan; (2) ...