Mathematical Journal of Modelling and Forecasting
Vol. 3 No. 1 (2025): June 2025

Earthquake Point Clustering in Sumatra Island using Spatio-Temporal Density-Based Spatial Clustering Application with Noise (ST-DBSCAN) Algorithm

Putri, Muthiara Hazimah (Unknown)
Sari, Devni Prima (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Jun 2025

Abstract

Abstract. Earthquakes are one of the natural disasters that often occur in Indonesia, especially on the island of Sumatra. Earthquakes become a frightening spectre because they cannot be predicted when they will come, where they will be located, and how strong the vibrations are, so they often cause damage and casualties. To minimise losses due to earthquakes, it is necessary to divide areas easily affected by earthquakes. One method that can be used to divide these areas is clustering techniques. This study uses a clustering method, namely Spatio Temporal-Density Based Spatial Clustering Application with Noise (ST-DBSCAN), on the dataset of earthquake points on the island of Sumatra in 1917-2023. This method uses a spatial distance parameter (ε_1= 0.28), temporal distance parameter (= 180), and minimum number of cluster members (MinPts = 7) with a silhouette coefficient of 0.0991, resulting in 145 clusters with 15 large clusters and 4922 noises. The epicentres are primarily located in Siberut Island, Tanah Bala Island and its surroundings, the Indian Sea opposite Nias Island, the Sea around the Mentawai Islands, Enggano Island and its environs, Simaulue Regency, and Enggano Island and the Sea around it. The most common type of spatio-temporal pattern found is the occasional pattern type.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

mjmf

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

The Mathematical Journal of Modelling and Forecasting are scientific journals in the fields of mathematics, statistics, actuarial, financial mathematics, computational mathematics, and applied mathematics. This journal is published twice a year, precisely in June and December in an online version. ...