Journal of Engineering Researcher and Lecturer
Vol. 4 No. 2 (2025): Regular Issue

System dynamics modelling of integrated urban clean water management: A case study in Padang City, Indonesia

Arbi, Yaumal (Unknown)
Ramadhianty, Rumia (Unknown)
Rahayu, Shinta (Unknown)
Putri, Widia (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
27 Jul 2025

Abstract

Access to clean water is essential for human life and a key target of Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 6: Clean Water and Sanitation. However, cities in developing countries, including Padang City, Indonesia, face significant challenges in meeting the growing demand due to population growth and limited water infrastructure. This study used system dynamics modelling approach with Powersim Studio 10 to develop an integrated clean water management system for Padang City. The model simulates the dynamics of population growth, water consumption, production, and distribution efficiency over a 20-year period (2022–2042). Several policy scenarios—optimistic, moderate, and pessimistic—were tested to evaluate their impact on water availability. The baseline scenario predicts a continuous decline in clean water supply due to increasing population, high leakage rates (11.99%), and water wastage (2%), which surpass the water production growth rate (5.01%). As a result, a water deficit is expected. However, under the optimistic scenario, with increased production (10%), reduced leakage (8%), and reduced wastage (3%), Padang City could achieve a clean water surplus by 2042. The moderate and pessimistic scenarios still result in a deficit. This research highlights the value of the system dynamics modelling in forecasting urban water demand and assessing policy impacts. The findings emphasize the need for integrated planning, combining technical solutions and behavioural change, to ensure sustainable water management and support the achievement of SDG 6.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jerel

Publisher

Subject

Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Education Engineering Mechanical Engineering

Description

The Journal of Engineering Researcher and Lecturer is dedicated as a forum for researchers and lecturers around the world to report the research results. All papers are peer-reviewed by at least two referees. The scope includes technological and learning innovation in engineering (miscellaneous). ...