Indonesia is one of the world's largest coffee producers with plantations in several provinces in Sumatra, Java and Sulawesi. The coffee sector is a leading export commodity to support the economy, but is influenced by macroeconomic factors such as productivity, inflation, exchange rates, and GDP that affect global competitiveness. This study aims to analyze the effect of productivity, inflation, exchange rates, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on the value of Indonesian coffee exports. The data used is secondary data from the period 2000 to 2023, sourced from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), Bank Indonesia, the Ministry of Agriculture, and the Ministry of Trade. The analysis method uses a quantitative approach with multiple linear regression models. The results showed that productivity and exchange rate had a significant negative effect on the value of coffee exports but inflation and GDP had a significant positive effect. The coefficient of determination of 90.7% indicates that the four independent variables together affect the value of coffee exports. This study provides a deeper understanding of the influence of factors on Indonesia's coffee export performance, which can be the basis for policy recommendations to improve coffee competitiveness in the international market.
Copyrights © 2025