Jurnal Ekonomi Indonesia
Vol 14 No 2 (2025): August

Hitting the bullseye: How does aggregate demand shape inflation targeting?

Yasin, Mohammad Zeqi (Unknown)
Adli, Fichrie Fachrowi (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
19 Aug 2025

Abstract

We aim to determine whether components of aggregate demand contribute to regional inflation reaching the threshold level. By using regional-level datasets of Indonesian cities from 2010 to 2023 with Logit and Tobit estimates, we reveal that the pandemic conditions influence the behaviour of aggregate demand components in achieving the inflation targeting level in cities. We show that household spending during the pandemic (in 2020 and afterwards) stimulates cities to reach the inflation targeting level. Likewise, gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) and government spending also increase the probability of the cities reaching inflation targets during the pandemic periods. However, there is no significant effect of exports during the pandemic in helping cities reach the inflation threshold. This finding is corroborated by the estimation of inflation gap reduction, where only household consumption, GFCF, and government spending contribute to the reduction of cities’ inflation gap towards the national targeting level. Our finding delivers policy implications, notably on how each city can achieve the national inflation targeting level.

Copyrights © 2025






Journal Info

Abbrev

isei

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Jurnal Ekonomi Indonesia is a journal published by Ikatan Sarjana Ekonomi Indonesia (ISEI) consists of academic articles on various subject areas including monetary and macroprudential regulation, finance and banking system, international economics, development economics, environmental and natural ...