Perspektif : Jurnal Ekonomi dan Manajemen Universitas Bina Sarana Informatika
Vol 23, No 2 (2025): Bulan September 2025

Pengaruh Ekonomi Makro SBI, EXR, M2, GDP dan OIL terhadap Inflasi di Indonesia Tahun 2020–2024

Lukminarti, Elita (Unknown)
Nurdin, Novi Puspa (Unknown)
Nova, Monica (Unknown)
Rizqi, Adinda (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
12 Sep 2025

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the influence of macroeconomic variables on inflation in Indonesia during the 2020–2024 period, encompassing the COVID-19 pandemic and the subsequent economic recovery. The independent variables examined include Bank Indonesia’s benchmark interest rate (SBI), the exchange rate of the rupiah against the US dollar (EXR), money supply (M2), real Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and global oil prices (OIL), with inflation as the dependent variable. A quantitative approach using multiple linear regression was applied to quarterly data spanning five years (20 observations). The results indicate that SBI has a significant negative effect on inflation, while EXR, M2, and OIL have significant positive effects. GDP shows a positive but statistically insignificant effect. The model's adjusted R² is 70.9%, suggesting that most of the variation in inflation can be explained by these variables. These findings align with macroeconomic theory and provide valuable recommendations for monetary and fiscal policies to maintain price stability in Indonesia. Keywords: Inflation, interest rate, exchange rate, money supply, oil price, macroeconomy.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

perspektif

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Environmental Science Social Sciences

Description

Jurnal Perspektif pertama kali diterbitkan pada tahun 2013. Jurnal ini dimaksudkan sebagai media kajian ilmiah hasil penelitian, pemikiran dan kajian analisis kritis mengenai penelitian di Bidang Ilmu Sistem Informasi, Manajemen dan Ekonomi. Jurnal Perspektif menerbitkan 2 (dua) jurnal dalam setiap ...