Jurnal Sosial dan Sains
Vol. 5 No. 9 (2025): Jurnal Sosial dan Sains

Economic and Institutional Determinants of Export Growth in Asean: Evidence from a Regional and Bilateral Perspective

Prirayani, Jagat (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
24 Sep 2025

Abstract

The ASEAN region has emerged as a vital hub in global trade, yet the determinants of its export performance—particularly from both regional and bilateral perspectives—remain underexplored in a cohesive empirical framework. The study investigates factors affecting export growth in the ASEAN economy over the sample period of 1996–2023 from a regional and bilateral trade flows perspective. The ASEAN countries sample includes Indonesia, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, and the Philippines. We employ panel regression techniques to examine the impact of GDP growth, inflation, globalization, political stability, and exchange rate growth on export growth. The findings show that GDP growth and exchange rate growth positively drive export growth, while inflation reduces export growth. In contrast, globalization, political stability, and COVID-19 have not significantly affected export growth in the region. Furthermore, at the bilateral level, the findings are more heterogeneous. Among all variables, GDP growth and exchange rate growth dominate as significant determinants of bilateral export trading in the region. Overall, the results demonstrate that a one-size-fits-all policy cannot explain the trade dynamics of ASEAN; it requires country-specific policies with structural reforms to enhance regional integration.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

sosains

Publisher

Subject

Astronomy Environmental Science Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Library & Information Science Physics

Description

Jurnal sosial dan sains (SOSAINS) is a double blind peer-reviewed academic journal and open access to social and science fields. The journal is published monthly by Green Publisher Indonesia. Jurnal sosial dan sains (SOSAINS) provides a means for sustained discussion of relevant issues that fall ...