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All Journal Jurnal Sosial dan Teknologi Jurnal Sosial dan Sains Journal Research of Social Science, Economics, and Management
Prirayani, Jagat
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Humanities Astronomy Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Engineering Environmental Science Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Library & Information Science Physics

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Economic and Institutional Determinants of Export Growth in Asean: Evidence from a Regional and Bilateral Perspective Prirayani, Jagat
Jurnal sosial dan sains Vol. 5 No. 9 (2025): Jurnal Sosial dan Sains
Publisher : Green Publisher Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59188/jurnalsosains.v5i9.32521

Abstract

The ASEAN region has emerged as a vital hub in global trade, yet the determinants of its export performance—particularly from both regional and bilateral perspectives—remain underexplored in a cohesive empirical framework. The study investigates factors affecting export growth in the ASEAN economy over the sample period of 1996–2023 from a regional and bilateral trade flows perspective. The ASEAN countries sample includes Indonesia, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, and the Philippines. We employ panel regression techniques to examine the impact of GDP growth, inflation, globalization, political stability, and exchange rate growth on export growth. The findings show that GDP growth and exchange rate growth positively drive export growth, while inflation reduces export growth. In contrast, globalization, political stability, and COVID-19 have not significantly affected export growth in the region. Furthermore, at the bilateral level, the findings are more heterogeneous. Among all variables, GDP growth and exchange rate growth dominate as significant determinants of bilateral export trading in the region. Overall, the results demonstrate that a one-size-fits-all policy cannot explain the trade dynamics of ASEAN; it requires country-specific policies with structural reforms to enhance regional integration.
Determinants of Non-Performing Loans in Rural Banks: Evidence from South Sumatra, Indonesia Prirayani, Jagat
Jurnal Sosial Teknologi Vol. 5 No. 6 (2025): Jurnal Sosial dan Teknologi
Publisher : CV. Green Publisher Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59188/jurnalsostech.v5i6.32206

Abstract

This study investigated the factors influencing the emergence of Non-Performing Loans (NPL) at Rural Banks in Southern Sumatra, one of the western provinces of Indonesia, from the perspective of debtors. The data were gathered through questionnaires distributed to 285 debtors with non-performing credit across the province. The questionnaire utilized an ordinal scale from 1 to 10. It included 15 variables: Length of Procedure, Officer Capacity, Credit Monitoring, Business Appraisal, Credit Period, Principal Amount, Interest Rate, Interest Rate Change, Customer Appraisal, Debtor Relations, Collateral Appraisal, Credit Allocation, Money Recording, Business Competition, and Economic Condition. The data were processed using Factor Analysis. Using factor analysis as the primary method, the study reduces the factors into three general factors and found that non-performing loans in the region are affected by the linear combination of the observed variables.
The Financial Ripple Effect: Evaluating the Impact of Corporate Downsizing in Meta Tatengkeng, Aaron Kevin Sammy; Damayanti, Sylviana Maya; Prirayani, Jagat
Journal Research of Social Science, Economics, and Management Vol. 5 No. 4 (2025): Journal Research of Social Science, Economics, and Management
Publisher : Publikasi Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59141/jrssem.v5i4.1192

Abstract

This study examines the financial ramifications of corporate downsizing on Meta Platforms Inc., focusing on the timeframe from 2018 to 2025, which includes the company's rapid growth and the ensuing "Year of Efficiency" layoffs commencing in late 2022. The study uses a quantitative approach, looking at changes in key financial and operational factors before and after the downsizing intervention. It does this by using Interrupted Time Series Analysis (ITSA) and multiple regression models on quarterly data. There is a lot going on with this "ripple effect." On the one hand, cutting back on staff and costs helped profits and efficiency a lot in the short run. Some numbers, like Return on Assets (ROA) and Operating Margin (OPM), went up after the company was slashed. Operating Income per Employee (OIPE) also went up. This means that employees made more money, mostly because costs were cut. On the other hand, the plan made it harder to get work done. Sales per Employee (SPE) steadily went down, which shows that fewer workers hurt production and may have hurt employee happiness. Also, cutting back on staff did not have a big effect on Return on Equity (ROE) or the Operating Cash Flow to Assets ratio (OCF). This means that laying off workers did not instantly increase short-term liquidity or returns for shareholders. Even when internal variables like R&D intensity and leverage and external macroeconomic factors like GDP growth and inflation were considered, these results stayed the same.
Co-Authors Sylviana Maya Damayanti Tatengkeng, Aaron Kevin Sammy