Jurnal Teknik Informatika (JUTIF)
Vol. 6 No. 4 (2025): JUTIF Volume 6, Number 4, Agustus 2025

GWO-Enhanced Hybrid Deep Learning with SHAP for Explainable TLKM.JK Stock Forecasting

Bukhori, Hilmi Aziz (Unknown)
Bukhori, Saiful (Unknown)
Anam, Syaiful (Unknown)
Yusuf, Feby Indriana (Unknown)
Sari, Meylita (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
02 Sep 2025

Abstract

This study presents an innovative Grey Wolf Optimization (GWO)-enhanced hybrid deep learning model integrating Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM), and Transformer, combined with SHAP for interpretable stock price forecasting of TLKM.JK from July 29, 2024, to July 29, 2025. Addressing non-linear market dynamics, the model evaluates seven experimental cases, with the GWO-optimized configuration (Case 2) achieving superior performance, with a Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of 75.23, Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 58.14, and Directional Accuracy (DA) of 76.2%, surpassing the baseline by 17.4% in RMSE and 8.1% in DA. Notably, Case 2 excels during the April 2025 surge (11.8% increase, MAE 53, DA 82%) and the high-volume day of May 28, 2025 (531,309,500 shares, MAE 48), leveraging Volume (SHAP 0.45) and RSI (0.28) as key predictors. With a 4-hour convergence time on an NVIDIA RTX 3060 GPU, the model ensures computational efficiency and interpretability, making it a robust tool for traders. Despite limitations in single-stock focus and GPU dependency, this framework advances AI-driven financial forecasting by offering transparent, high-accuracy predictions, paving the way for multi-stock applications and real-time SHAP updates.

Copyrights © 2025






Journal Info

Abbrev

jurnal

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

Jurnal Teknik Informatika (JUTIF) is an Indonesian national journal, publishes high-quality research papers in the broad field of Informatics, Information Systems and Computer Science, which encompasses software engineering, information system development, computer systems, computer network, ...