Venn: Journal of Sustainable Innovation on Education, Mathematics and Natural Sciences
Vol. 4 No. 3 (2025): Matematika, IPA, dan Pembelajarannya

Estimasi dan Peramalan Jumlah Penduduk Miskin Menggunakan Model Tren Non-Linear Kuadratik di Sulawesi Selatan

Hidayat, Rahmat (Unknown)
Ashari, Nur Wahidin (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
16 Jul 2025

Abstract

Poverty is a complex and multidimensional issue, interconnected with various aspects, including social, economic, cultural, and other aspects. The number of poor people in Indonesia was 25.14 million in March 2019. In South Sulawesi Province in March 2019, there were approximately 767,800 poor people. As a preventive measure against increasing poverty rates, it is necessary to forecast the number of poor people so that the government can plan policies. The data used in this study is data from 2008-2019 sourced from the Central Statistics Agency of South Sulawesi Province. This study uses Non-Linear Trend Analysis, specifically the Quadratic Method, to forecast the number of poor people. This method is suitable for data spanning 10 or more periods. The Quadratic Method has an R-Square value of 86.48% and a MAPE of 2.69%. The results of the forecast for 6 years show that the number of poor people in South Sulawesi Province has increased.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

venn

Publisher

Subject

Education Environmental Science Mathematics Physics Other

Description

Mathematics and Natural Sciences Education Learning Innovation Development of Mathematics and Natural Sciences Education Sciences Aplication of Mathematics and Natural Sciences Education Actuarial Technology Based of Learning Mathematics and Natural Sciences Study of Learning Mathematics and Natural ...