MILANG Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Vol. 20 No. 1 (2024): MILANG Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications

PERAMALAN NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH TERHADAP DOLAR SINGAPURA, BAHT, DAN PESO MENGGUNAKAN METODE GSTAR

Budiarti, Retno (Unknown)
Rahmawati, D. S. (Unknown)
Septyanto, Fendy (Unknown)
Purnaba, I Gusti Putu (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Jun 2024

Abstract

The Generalized Space-Time Autoregressive (GSTAR) model is an extension of the Space-Time Autoregressive (STAR) model. The difference between the two models lies in the parameter assumptions. In the STAR model, the parameters are assumed to be independent of location, so this model is only suitable for data with homogeneous locations. Meanwhile in the GSTAR model, the parameters are assumed to change for each different location. This research aims to develop the best model for forecasting the Rupiah exchange rate against the Singapore Dollar, Thai Baht, and Philippine Peso. The appropriate model used for the Rupiah exchange rate data is the GSTAR(51)I(1) model. The weights used in this study are uniform location weights and inverse distance. The modeling results show that the best model is the model with inverse distance weighting, which has an MSE value of 371.8907 with MAPE values for each of the Rupiah exchange rate data against the Singapore Dollar, Thai Baht, and Philippine Peso of 0.3154214%, 0.8369436%, and 0.6237245%, respectively.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jmap

Publisher

Subject

Mathematics

Description

MILANG Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications, originally established in 2002 as the Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications (ISSN 1412-677X), transitioned to online publishing in 2018 and was renamed in 2022 to reflect its broadened scope. The name MILANG, a Sundanese word meaning “to ...