Literatus
Vol 7 No 1 (2025): International Socio-Cultural Scientific Journal

Pemodelan Kasus Demam Berdarah Dengue Di Jawa Barat Menggunakan Regresi Gaussian, Poisson, dan Negatif Binomial

Sundari, Marta (Unknown)
Sativa, Oryza (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
15 Apr 2025

Abstract

Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) remains a major health problem in West Java Province, which has a tropical climate and dense population. This study aims to model DHF cases using Gaussian, Poisson, and Negative Binomial regression. The data used include the number of DHF cases in 2024 as the response variable and eight predictor variables, namely humidity, amount of rainfall, real expenditure per capita, poverty ratio, population density, percentage of households with clean and healthy lifestyles, ratio of health facilities, and average height of the area above sea level (ASL) according to rainfall stations. Data were obtained from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and the West Java Provincial Health Office. The analysis results showed that Poisson and Gaussian regression were less suitable because they were unable to handle overdispersion in the data. The Negative Binomial model provided the best results with the smallest AIC value. Two variables that significantly influenced the number of dengue cases were population density (variable 5) and the ratio of health facilities (variable 7)  

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Journal Info

Abbrev

Literatus

Publisher

Subject

Humanities Education Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Social Sciences

Description

Literatus adalah jurnal yang diterbitkan oleh Neolectura, diterbitkan dua kali dalam satu tahun. Literatus adalah media publikasi ilmiah dalam bentuk makalah konseptual dan penelitian lapangan yang terkait dengan bidang kajian sosial dan budaya. Diharapkan Literatus dapat menjadi media bagi ...