Signifikan : Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi
Vol. 14 No. 2 (2025): Forthcoming Issue

Currency Risk and Debt Maturity: Their Effects on the Resilience of Indonesia’s Foreign Exchange Reserves

Afriana, Wendra (Unknown)
Damanhuri, Didin S. (Unknown)
Taryono, Taryono (Unknown)
Amanah, Siti (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
03 Nov 2025

Abstract

Research Originality: This study uncovers the unexpected negative impact of long-term external debt on Indonesia’s foreign exchange reserves, challenging conventional beliefs about debt stability. Research Objectives: This study provides important—and occasionally surprising—new insights into the dynamics of Indonesia's external debt and its impact on the country's foreign exchange reserves. Research Methods: Using recent time series data from 2013–2024 and the tried-and-true OLS regression method, this study provides a thorough and timely analysis of the relationship between Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves and the structure of its external debt. Empirical Results: The empirical results indicate that long-term debt has a negative impact on foreign exchange reserves, whereas Rupiah and foreign currency-denominated debts have positive effects. Notably, short-term debt shows no significant impact. These findings offer practical guidance for Indonesia’s external debt management, supporting better debt prioritization and enhanced financial resilience. Implications: These novel insights offer valuable guidance for optimizing debt management to strengthen Indonesia’s financial resilience and economic stability.

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