Jurnal Ar-Ribh
Vol. 8 No. 2 (2025): October 2025

Navigating the 12% VAT Increase in Indonesia: Challenges and Opportunities for Equity Investors in the Context of Islamic Finance

Insirat, Mutahira Nur (Unknown)
Syahfir, Hasri Ainun (Unknown)
Darmawati, Darmawati (Unknown)
Rasyid, Syarifuddin (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Oct 2025

Abstract

This study examines the economic and investment implications of Indonesia’s Value Added Tax (VAT) increase from 11% to 12%, effective January 1, 2025, within the framework of Islamic finance. The policy, part of a broader fiscal reform, aims to enhance state revenue, promote sustainable development, and strengthen fiscal stability, while applying the higher rate only to luxury goods and services. Using an exploratory qualitative approach, this research analyzes both challenges and opportunities arising for equity investors in the Indonesian capital market. Findings reveal that the VAT increase may reduce consumer purchasing power, particularly affecting consumption-driven sectors such as consumer goods and retail, thereby increasing market volatility and reducing short-term profitability. However, sectors less affected by the policy such as healthcare, technology, and halal finance present diversification opportunities aligned with Shariah principles. From an Islamic finance perspective, taxation is permissible when implemented with fairness (‘adl) and aimed at public welfare (maslahah), ensuring that vulnerable groups remain protected. The study highlights that investors integrating Shariah ethics, risk management, and sustainability considerations can navigate fiscal adjustments more effectively. Overall, the VAT increase, while posing short-term market challenges, may lead to long-term fiscal resilience and responsible investment opportunities under a just and transparent Islamic economic framework.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

ar-ribh

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Ar-Ribh : Jurnal Ekonomi Islam [p-ISSN 2684-7477 |e-ISSN 2714-6316] published by the Islamic Economics Study Program of the Faculty of Economics and Business, Muhammadiyah University of Makassar, this journal publishes research articles in the field of Islamic Economics. This journal publishes ...