Journal of Innovation Research and Knowledge
Vol. 4 No. 7: Desember 2024

PREDICTION OF RESERVOIR CONTENTS TO IDENTIFY DISCHARGE NEEDS AT THE INTAKE DOOR

Nazilatus Sa'idah (Unknown)
Esti Wulandari (Unknown)
Djoko Laksono (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Dec 2024

Abstract

The rapid development of technology has given rise to new methods in science. Among these sciences, data prediction is a science that is often used to find out data on events that will appear in the future, one of which is forecasting discharge data. Water data that fills a reservoir can also be predicted by knowing past rainfall data that occurred in that area. This study aims to examine the water content of the Lowayu Reservoir by predicting past rainfall data to find out the rainfall that occurred in 2026. The results of the rainfall data prediction are then transformed into water discharge that will fill the reservoir and then be used to meet water needs for agriculture. The prediction method used is the Holt-Winters exponential smoothing model multiplicative method. The results of the study showed that the highest rainfall was obtained in December - January 2024 - 2026 at 220 mm - 224 mm with a MAPE error value of 15.8% and produced a maximum water volume in the reservoir of 213,400,000 liters -217,280,000 liters/month during 2024-2026. Based on the reservoir water content data, intake gate 1 has an opening height of 0.37 m for 115 days for 1 harvest season with an agricultural land area of ​​​​231.5 ha. While intake gate 2 has an opening height of 1.2 m for 1 harvest season with an area of ​​​​1137.5 ha

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Journal Info

Abbrev

JIRK

Publisher

Subject

Humanities Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Health Professions Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Social Sciences

Description

Journal of Innovation Research and Knowledge, published by Bajang Institute. Published in two formats, print and online, print version of ISSN: 2798-3471 and the online version of ISSN: 798-3641, both of which are published every month. The scope of the journal studies broadly includes: Culture (a ...